{"id":9764,"date":"2022-01-05T10:42:45","date_gmt":"2022-01-05T01:42:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/news.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp\/?p=9764"},"modified":"2022-02-15T11:01:31","modified_gmt":"2022-02-15T02:01:31","slug":"12%e6%9c%88%e3%81%ae%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e6%a5%ad%e7%b8%be-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp\/?p=9764","title":{"rendered":"12\u6708\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u696d\u7e3e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>OSIPP\u57fa\u5e79\u8b1b\u5ea7\u6559\u54e1\u306e12\u6708\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u696d\u7e3e\u3092\u3054\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u30fb\u4e8c\u6749\u5065\u6597\u5148\u751f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u30fb\u5ba4\u5ca1\u5065\u5fd7\u5148\u751f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u30fb\u8d64\u4e95\u4f38\u90ce\u5148\u751f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>\u4e8c\u6749\u5065\u6597<\/strong>\uff08\u8ad6\u6587\uff09<br \/>\n\u300c\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u5b9a\uff08FTA\uff09\u3068\u30b5\u30b9\u30c6\u30ca\u30d3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\uff0dEU\u306eFTA\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u3068\u6301\u7d9a\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u767a\u5c55\u300d\u7ae0\u306e\u610f\u7fa9\u3068\u8ab2\u984c\u300d<a href=\"http:\/\/www.yuhikaku.co.jp\/books\/detail\/9784641213371\">\u300e\u8ad6\u7a76\u30b8\u30e5\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u300f37\u53f7<\/a>\uff082021\u5e7411\u6708\uff0969-74\u9801<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 10px;\">\u6982\u8981\uff1a\u7279\u96c6\u300c21\u4e16\u7d00\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u300e\u5171\u5b58\u306e\u56fd\u969b\u6cd5\u300f\u300d\u306e1\u7bc7\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5f93\u6765\u300c\u5171\u5b58\u306e\u56fd\u969b\u6cd5\u300d\u306e\u4e00\u985e\u578b\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306e\u3042\u3063\u305f\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u5b9a\uff08FTA\uff09\u306e\u6027\u8cea\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3092\u3001EU\u306e\u65b0\u4e16\u4ee3FTA\u306b\u7f6e\u304b\u308c\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u300c\u8cbf\u6613\u3068\u6301\u7d9a\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u767a\u5c55\uff08TSD: Trade and Sustainable Development\uff09\u300d\u7ae0\u3092\u984c\u6750\u306b\u691c\u8a0e\u3057\u305f\u3002TSD\u7ae0\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u5f93\u6765\u4e8c\u9805\u5bfe\u7acb\u7684\u306b\u628a\u63e1\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u8cbf\u6613\u4fa1\u5024\u3068\u975e\u8cbf\u6613\u4fa1\u5024\u304c\u6301\u7d9a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3068\u3044\u3046\u9ad8\u6b21\u306e\u4fa1\u5024\u306e\u3082\u3068\u7d71\u5408\u3055\u308c\u3001FTA\u306e\u904b\u7528\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3001\u7a2e\u3005\u306e\u7406\u8ad6\u7684\u30fb\u5b9f\u8df5\u7684\u8ab2\u984c\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>\u5ba4\u5ca1\u5065\u5fd7<\/strong>\uff08\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\uff09<br \/>\n\u884c\u52d5\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66 \u4eba\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u5165\u308c\u305f\u7406\u8ad6\u3000\u9023\u8f09\u7b2c14\u56de \u4e0d\u6ce8\u610f\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nippyo.co.jp\/shop\/magazines\/latest\/3.html\"> \u300e\u7d4c\u6e08\u30bb\u30df\u30ca\u30fc\u300fNo.723<\/a>\u30012022\u5e7412\u30fb1\u6708\u53f7\uff081\u6708\u767a\u884c\uff09<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 10px;\">\u6982\u8981\uff1a\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u3001\u500b\u4eba\u306e\u4e0d\u6ce8\u610f\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u304a\u3088\u3073\u653f\u7b56\u3078\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3059\u542b\u610f\u3092\u8aac\u660e\u3059\u308b\u3002\u7b2c2\u7bc0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5c0e\u5165\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a0e\u306e\u5185\u7a0e\u5916\u7a0e\u8868\u793a\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u30d5\u30a3\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u5b9f\u9a13\u3092\u7d39\u4ecb\u3059\u308b\u3002\u7b2c3\u7bc0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7a0e\u5236\u304a\u3088\u3073\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u3078\u306e\u542b\u610f\u3092\u7d39\u4ecb\u3059\u308b\u3002\u7b2c4\u7bc0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u304c\u4e0d\u6ce8\u610f\u306a\u5834\u5408\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u5e02\u5834\u7af6\u4e89\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u6982\u8aac\u3059\u308b\u3002\u7b2c5\u7bc0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4e0d\u6ce8\u610f\u3092\u3069\u3046\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304b\u3089\u540c\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u304b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u7406\u8ad6\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u7d39\u4ecb\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>\u5ba4\u5ca1\u5065\u5fd7<\/strong> coauthored with Yuichi Yamamoto \uff08Discussion Paper\uff09<br \/>\n\u201cMisspecified Bayesian Learning by Strategic Players:First-Order Misspecification and Higher-Order Misspecification\u201d DP 2021-E-008 (December 2, 2021)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp\/archives\/DP\/2021\/DP2021E008.pdf\">https:\/\/www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp\/archives\/DP\/2021\/DP2021E008.pdf<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 10px;\">Abstract\uff1aWe consider strategic players who may have a misspecified view about the world, and investigate their long-run behavior when they learn an unknown state from public signals over time. Our framework is flexible and allows for higher-order misspecification, in that a player may have a bias about the physical environment, a bias about the opponent&#8217;s bias about the physical environment, and so on. We provide a condition under which players&#8217; beliefs and actions converge to a steady state, and then characterize how one&#8217;s misspecification influences the long-run (steady-state) outcome. We apply these results to various economic examples such as Cournot competition, team production, and discrimination. We find that higher-order misspecification can have a significant impact on the equilibrium outcome: One&#8217;s overconfidence can have opposite effects on the equilibrium outcome, depending on whether the opponent is aware of this bias or not.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>\u8d64\u4e95\u4f38\u90ce <\/strong>coauthored with\u6c93\u6fa4 \u9686\u53f8\u30fb\u7af9\u672c \u4ea8\u3000\uff08Discussion Paper\uff09 <br \/>\n\u300cCOVID-19 \u306e\u611f\u67d3\u72b6\u6cc1\u3068\u88ab\u5bb3\u304c\u5730\u4fa1\u306b\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u5f71\u97ff\u306e\u5b9f\u8a3c\u5206\u6790\uff08Empirical Analysis of the Effect of the Infection and Damage of COVID-19 on Land Prices\uff09\u300dDP 2021-J-009\uff082021\u5e7412\u670820\u65e5)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp\/archives\/DP\/2021\/DP2021J009.pdf\">https:\/\/www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp\/archives\/DP\/2021\/DP2021J009.pdf<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 10px;\">\u6982\u8981\uff1a\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\uff08COVID-19\uff09\u306e\u6d41\u884c\u306f\uff0c\u611f\u67d3\u3092\u9632\u3050\u305f\u3081\u306e\u90fd\u5e02\u5185\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u30bd\u30fc\u30b7\u30e3\u30eb\u30c7\u30a3\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u306e\u78ba\u4fdd\u3084\u30c6\u30ec\u30ef\u30fc\u30af\u306e\u63a8\u5968\u306a\u3069\u3092\u4fc3\u3057\uff0c\u3053\u306e\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u5f62\u614b\u3084\u5834\u6240\u3082\u542b\u3081\u305f\u4f4f\u5b85\u3084\u5546\u696d\u65bd\u8a2d\uff0c\u30aa\u30d5\u30a3\u30b9\u3078\u306e\u9700\u8981\u304c\u5909\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u898b\u8fbc\u307e\u308c\uff0c\u3053\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306f\uff0c\u4f4f\u5b85\u5730\u3084\u5546\u696d\u5730\u306e\u5730\u4fa1\u306b\u3082\u53cd\u6620\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u601d\u308f\u308c\u308b\u3002\u305d\u3053\u3067\uff0c\u672c\u8ad6\u6587\u3067\u306f\uff0cCOVID-19 \u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u3084\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\u6570\u306e\u9055\u3044\u304c\uff0c\u4f4f\u5b85\u5730\u3084\u5546\u696d\u5730\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u9078\u597d\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3092\u901a\u3057\u3066\u5730\u4fa1\u306b\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u305f\u304b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\uff0c\u5730\u4fa1\u516c\u793a\u306e\u30d1\u30cd\u30eb\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5143\u306b\uff0c\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u7b49\u306e\u5185\u751f\u6027\u3092\u8e0f\u307e\u3048\u305f\u64cd\u4f5c\u5909\u6570\u3092\u7528\u3044\u305f\u56fa\u5b9a\u52b9\u679c\u5206\u6790\u3092\u884c\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u2460COVID-19 \u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u3084\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\u6570\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3059\u308c\u3070\u4e0d\u52d5\u7523\u4fa1\u683c\u306b\u8ca0\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\uff0c\u2461\u4f4f\u5b85\u5730\u3088\u308a\u3082\u5546\u696d\u5730\u306e\u65b9\u304c\u305d\u308c\u3089\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u5927\u304d\u3044\uff0c\u2462\u5bb9\u7a4d\u7387\u304c\u9ad8\u304f\u571f\u5730\u5229\u7528\u304c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5730\u70b9\u307b\u3069\u305d\u308c\u3089\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u660e\u3089\u304b\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u203b\u8ad6\u6587\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u67fb\u8aad\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u8a18\u8f09\u306e\u306a\u3044\u3082\u306e\u306f\u67fb\u8aad\u306e\u306a\u3044\u8ad6\u6587\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>OSIPP\u57fa\u5e79\u8b1b\u5ea7\u6559\u54e1\u306e12\u6708\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u696d\u7e3e\u3092\u3054\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u30fb\u4e8c\u6749\u5065\u6597\u5148\u751f \u30fb\u5ba4\u5ca1\u5065\u5fd7\u5148\u751f \u30fb\u8d64\u4e95\u4f38\u90ce\u5148\u751f &nbsp; 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